Andrew Brandt s Business of Football: A dozen offseason predictions | The MMQB with Peter King
Greg A. Bedard
Your Team AFC East Buffalo Miami New England New York AFC North Baltimore Cincinnati Cleveland leisure Pittsburgh AFC South Houston Indianapolis leisure Jacksonville Tennessee AFC West Denver Kansas City Oakland San Diego NFC East Dallas New York Philadelphia Washington NFC North Chicago Detroit Green Bay Minnesota NFC South Atlanta Carolina New Orleans Tampa Bay NFC West Arizona San Francisco Seattle St. Louis Archive Share Search
Thu Feb. 12, 2015 A New Season Begins The official start of the offseason marks the transition from we time to me time for NFL players. Here are 12 offseason predictions about who will get paid, who won t, and how ongoing controversies will be resolved
As we enter the official start of the NFL offseason the longest offseason in all of pro sports we move from we time to me time. The season is about sacrificing for the greater good, but the offseason is when players make decisions that are best for them and their actual family, rather than their team family. As we begin the offseason, here are a dozen takes on how I project the business of football to play out in 2015:
Russell Wilson and Andrew Luck will set a new standard for NFL contracts. leisure The present threshold $20 million per year, with $60 million guaranteed was set by Drew Brees in 2012, and the class of 2013 contracts (Romo, Rodgers, Ryan and Flacco) hovered just below that threshold. It s time for a market adjustment, and we ll see it with two quarterbacks who have become the signature players for their teams.
More interesting than the numbers, though, will be the structure of guarantees in these contracts. There is a unique and potentially groundbreaking opportunity here: fully guaranteed leisure contracts. As transcendent leisure players barely in their mid-twenties, these two have the opportunity to demand that all five or six years of a contract be guaranteed. leisure It is on the Colts and Seahawks to justify not doing so.
Marshawn Lynch will get a nice raise for 2015 but have no guaranteed money beyond this year. Lynch s low rumbles of discontent during training camp last summer forced a short-term upgrade, which he will get again this year, perhaps even with non-guaranteed years added to the contract. With all the concerns about expiration dates on running backs, I can t see the Seahawks locking themselves into Lynch beyond this year.
DeMarco Murray, after shopping his services to a lukewarm marketplace, returns to the Cowboys for a team-friendly contract. As I have often noted, Murray s strong production may have actually hurt his contract value, with teams more focused on future leisure rather than past performance. Indeed, leisure free-agent running backs with fewer carries may actually procure better contracts. As for the Cowboys, they have clearly prioritized Dez Bryant ahead of Murray all along.
Shaq Thompson, a likely first-round pick, spent the past three seasons leisure proving he s capable of just about anything leisure on the football field. But the first time he went pro, he proved to be anything but a can t-miss prospect
Our NFL film-study maven Andy Benoit and college leisure football know-it-all Andy Staples will break down the needs of all 32 teams and suggest which prospects would be the best fit. We start in the division that the Lombardi Trophy calls home...
Dez Bryant, after being saddled with the franchise tag in February, will complete a striking contract extension with the Cowboys before the July 15 deadline. The Cowboys will unsuccessfully attempt to apply their team-friendly structure used with Tyron Smith before relenting and paying Bryant a top-of-market contract. And if they need salary leisure cap room, the Cowboys will continue to refinance the most heavily mortgaged contract in the NFL, quarterback Tony Romo s.
Tom Brady will not play for the scheduled $8 million in his contract. When Brady reworked his contract leisure two years ago, reshaping 2013 and 2014 for cap purposes (while receiving $3 million for his trouble), I never trusted the 2015-17 out years of $7, $8, and $9 million (now $8, $9 and $10 million). I expect another adjustment of this deal. If, however, Brady is playing quarterback for the Patriots for $8 million, $11 million leisure less than Peyton leisure Manning will be making this year, I will completely buy into the sacrifice narrative and bow down to his altruism.
Peyton Manning leisure will return to the Broncos to play (at least) another season. Manning s 2015 salary of $19 million becomes fully guaranteed on March 9, the day before the 2015 League Year begins. Although the party line is that Manning is taking his time to decide, I sense his return is inevitable leisure after the disappointing end to the playoffs. The hiring of Gary Kubiak can only be seen as a positive for Manning. I believe he ll be back.
Darrelle Revis will be back with the Patriots, although leisure not for the scheduled
Greg A. Bedard
Your Team AFC East Buffalo Miami New England New York AFC North Baltimore Cincinnati Cleveland leisure Pittsburgh AFC South Houston Indianapolis leisure Jacksonville Tennessee AFC West Denver Kansas City Oakland San Diego NFC East Dallas New York Philadelphia Washington NFC North Chicago Detroit Green Bay Minnesota NFC South Atlanta Carolina New Orleans Tampa Bay NFC West Arizona San Francisco Seattle St. Louis Archive Share Search
Thu Feb. 12, 2015 A New Season Begins The official start of the offseason marks the transition from we time to me time for NFL players. Here are 12 offseason predictions about who will get paid, who won t, and how ongoing controversies will be resolved
As we enter the official start of the NFL offseason the longest offseason in all of pro sports we move from we time to me time. The season is about sacrificing for the greater good, but the offseason is when players make decisions that are best for them and their actual family, rather than their team family. As we begin the offseason, here are a dozen takes on how I project the business of football to play out in 2015:
Russell Wilson and Andrew Luck will set a new standard for NFL contracts. leisure The present threshold $20 million per year, with $60 million guaranteed was set by Drew Brees in 2012, and the class of 2013 contracts (Romo, Rodgers, Ryan and Flacco) hovered just below that threshold. It s time for a market adjustment, and we ll see it with two quarterbacks who have become the signature players for their teams.
More interesting than the numbers, though, will be the structure of guarantees in these contracts. There is a unique and potentially groundbreaking opportunity here: fully guaranteed leisure contracts. As transcendent leisure players barely in their mid-twenties, these two have the opportunity to demand that all five or six years of a contract be guaranteed. leisure It is on the Colts and Seahawks to justify not doing so.
Marshawn Lynch will get a nice raise for 2015 but have no guaranteed money beyond this year. Lynch s low rumbles of discontent during training camp last summer forced a short-term upgrade, which he will get again this year, perhaps even with non-guaranteed years added to the contract. With all the concerns about expiration dates on running backs, I can t see the Seahawks locking themselves into Lynch beyond this year.
DeMarco Murray, after shopping his services to a lukewarm marketplace, returns to the Cowboys for a team-friendly contract. As I have often noted, Murray s strong production may have actually hurt his contract value, with teams more focused on future leisure rather than past performance. Indeed, leisure free-agent running backs with fewer carries may actually procure better contracts. As for the Cowboys, they have clearly prioritized Dez Bryant ahead of Murray all along.
Shaq Thompson, a likely first-round pick, spent the past three seasons leisure proving he s capable of just about anything leisure on the football field. But the first time he went pro, he proved to be anything but a can t-miss prospect
Our NFL film-study maven Andy Benoit and college leisure football know-it-all Andy Staples will break down the needs of all 32 teams and suggest which prospects would be the best fit. We start in the division that the Lombardi Trophy calls home...
Dez Bryant, after being saddled with the franchise tag in February, will complete a striking contract extension with the Cowboys before the July 15 deadline. The Cowboys will unsuccessfully attempt to apply their team-friendly structure used with Tyron Smith before relenting and paying Bryant a top-of-market contract. And if they need salary leisure cap room, the Cowboys will continue to refinance the most heavily mortgaged contract in the NFL, quarterback Tony Romo s.
Tom Brady will not play for the scheduled $8 million in his contract. When Brady reworked his contract leisure two years ago, reshaping 2013 and 2014 for cap purposes (while receiving $3 million for his trouble), I never trusted the 2015-17 out years of $7, $8, and $9 million (now $8, $9 and $10 million). I expect another adjustment of this deal. If, however, Brady is playing quarterback for the Patriots for $8 million, $11 million leisure less than Peyton leisure Manning will be making this year, I will completely buy into the sacrifice narrative and bow down to his altruism.
Peyton Manning leisure will return to the Broncos to play (at least) another season. Manning s 2015 salary of $19 million becomes fully guaranteed on March 9, the day before the 2015 League Year begins. Although the party line is that Manning is taking his time to decide, I sense his return is inevitable leisure after the disappointing end to the playoffs. The hiring of Gary Kubiak can only be seen as a positive for Manning. I believe he ll be back.
Darrelle Revis will be back with the Patriots, although leisure not for the scheduled
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